ANALYSIS
Every analysis
One connection each, followed from the decision to the thing it does to you — with the sources, so you can check the lot.
58 analyses · 58 fully sourced · newest first · page 1 of 3
More analyses17
GEOPOLITICSRUSSIA ⟶ UKRAINE
The front slowed sixteenfold — and the killing rose anyway
HUMANITARIANHOUTHI FORCES ⟶ YEMENI GOVERNMENT
Yemen's four-year truce just broke — the Houthis are fighting for a Red Sea port
POLITICSTHE AFD ⟶ GERMANY'S GOVERNING COALITION
The AfD won 43.8% in Saxony-Anhalt — more than the next three parties combined, and three seats short of ruling alone
ECONOMYBOLIVIA'S GOVERNMENT ⟶ THE IMF
Bolivia ran out of dollars, floated its currency, and cut fuel subsidies three times in six weeks
TRADECHINA ⟶ ARCTIC
China's new Arctic route to Europe is three weeks faster than Suez. It's also more expensive.
SECURITYGERMANY ⟶ RUSSIA
A drone that never detonated just cost Russia its cultural centers in Germany
GEOPOLITICSUNITED STATES ⟶ DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO
Congo's copper now has two railways racing to carry it out. One is Western, one is Chinese.
GEOPOLITICSTURKEY ⟶ GREECE
Turkey warned Greece to stop arming its islands. Greece had just signed a $3.5bn deal to do exactly that.
ENERGYIRAN ⟶ GLOBAL ENERGY MARKETS
Hormuz closed — and oil went back to $77 anyway
GEOPOLITICSUNITED STATES ⟶ IRAN
The nuclear program is gone — the US–Iran war isn't
SECURITYCHINA ⟶ PHILIPPINES
The Philippines filed a map with the UN. China answered with warships and bombers.
GEOPOLITICSISRAEL ⟶ LEBANON
Israel freed five Lebanese prisoners this week — the disarmament term stuck since June hasn't moved
SECURITYUNITED STATES ⟶ MEXICO
Two CIA officers died in a raid Mexico says it never approved. Trump still hasn't ordered the land strikes he promised.
TRADECHINA ⟶ UNITED STATES
China froze its rare-earth crackdown for a trade truce — then blacklisted the two US firms built to escape it
TRADEUNITED STATES ⟶ CHINA
Trump and Xi meet a third time in eleven months — and the truce between them still has no signature
SECURITYIRAQ'S GOVERNMENT ⟶ IRAN-BACKED MILITIAS
Iraq told Iran-backed militias: disarm by 30 September or face terrorism charges
SECURITYUNITED STATES ⟶ TAIWAN
Trump turned Taiwan's own weapons into his bargaining chip with Xi
Every figure on a sourced analysis comes from a citation you can open. Impact Score, confidence and the probabilities stay editorial judgments — no source publishes them. how we score